Feyenoord vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
6º
1º
32
3º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
FEY
1 - 0
BVO
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VOL
0 - 2
FEY
11%
18%
71%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
FEY
1 - 0
LAZ
46%
24%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
FEY
22%
22%
56%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FEY
1 - 1
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
SCH
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GAE
3 - 1
EXC
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
AZA
14%
20%
67%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
5 - 1
MVV
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
7 - 1
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |