Feyenoord vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
RMA
3 - 1
FEY
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
FEN
0 - 2
FEY
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
RJC
2 - 2
FEY
30%
27%
44%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
FEY
2 - 0
NEC
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
FEY
1 - 0
FEN
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 0
HEL
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 0
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCO
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |