Feyenoord vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 4
FEY
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
MVV
2 - 1
FEY
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
FEY
2 - 1
ADO
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
FEY
0 - 3
PSV
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
UTR
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
3 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |