Feyenoord vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 0
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
FEY
3 - 2
AZA
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 2
FEY
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FEY
4 - 1
AJA
60%
21%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 1
FEY
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
4 - 2
TWE
14%
28%
59%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
1 - 1
AMS
33%
30%
38%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
ADO
32%
31%
37%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |