Feyenoord vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
TEL
1 - 0
FEY
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
FEY
3 - 0
VOL
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
DWS
0 - 4
FEY
15%
25%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
UTA
0 - 0
FEY
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
FEY
0 - 0
ADO
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 2
UTR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
HFC
2 - 0
EXC
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
20%
20%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
SHS
2 - 3
EXC
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |