Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
FEY
2 - 0
TEL
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
MVV
1 - 2
FEY
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
FEY
3 - 3
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
5%
11%
84%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
FEY
2 - 0
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
39%
30%
32%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
74%
17%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
GAE
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
AMS
0 - 3
AZA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
AZA
2 - 1
HFC
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |