Feyenoord vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FEY
4 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 3
FEY
29%
25%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FEY
2 - 2
SCH
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FEY
3 - 0
RJC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 0
APE
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
APE
0 - 0
EIN
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
4 - 1
APE
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
APE
0 - 4
ZWO
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
5 - 1
APE
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |