Ferrymead Bays vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
6º
5º
11
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
GIA
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
FER
92%
5%
2%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
FER
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
UOC
1 - 3
CHR
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
UOC
3 - 2
WMK
22%
19%
59%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
UOC
0 - 6
CHR
7%
12%
81%
|
6 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
WAF
0 - 1
UOC
47%
21%
32%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FCT
4 - 1
UOC
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |