Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
6º
5º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
FER
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 3
NSF
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 4
FER
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 3
COA
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 4
FER
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
UOC
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 6
CAS
10%
12%
78%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NSF
2 - 2
NOM
53%
20%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 1
SUF
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
NOM
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |