Ferrymead Bays vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
60.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
COA
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 3
FER
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
CHR
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 3
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
CAS
4%
12%
84%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 0
SCR
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 0
MOS
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 1
GIA
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 2
SUF
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |