Ferrymead Bays vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
3 - 1
FER
28%
21%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FER
4 - 2
NOM
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
FER
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COA
1 - 2
FER
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
SCR
27%
22%
52%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 2
SCR
31%
21%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CHR
9 - 1
GIA
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GIA
5 - 1
MOS
57%
19%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
8 - 0
GIA
93%
5%
1%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GIA
4 - 3
COA
42%
21%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |