Ferrymead Bays vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
6º
5º
1
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
7º
|
77.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 4
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 4
CHR
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
UOC
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
GIA
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
FER
92%
5%
2%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 5
NOM
9%
14%
77%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
12 - 0
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
5 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 5
CHR
4%
9%
86%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | -1 |