Ferrymead Bays vs Coastal Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 3
FER
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
CHR
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 3
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
CAS
4%
12%
84%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
COA
3 - 2
GIA
41%
22%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 3
COA
62%
19%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHR
3 - 2
COA
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GIA
3 - 2
COA
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
COA
2 - 4
SUF
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |