Ferroviarios vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UTC
2 - 0
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 0
ROC
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
5 - 1
MAC
27%
27%
45%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEP
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 1
UTC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DPT
2 - 1
DEP
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |