Ferroviario Corrientes vs Villa Alvear analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviario Corrientes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAD
3 - 2
SFE
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 1
RES
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ABM
2 - 1
SFE
80%
15%
6%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 1
HUR
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TEX
1 - 1
SFE
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Alvear
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 0
ABM
13%
21%
67%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 0
ALV
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 0
TEX
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 0
ALV
61%
19%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 1
RES
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |