Ferroviário vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
FLO
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
FER
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 0
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 0
BRA
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 3
ABC
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 2
VIT
8%
16%
76%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
JEC
93%
6%
1%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |