Ferroviário vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
TIR
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 3
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FER
4 - 0
HOR
39%
24%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 1
FER
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 4
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CEA
4 - 1
UNI
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 9
NAU
13%
21%
65%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 3
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 0
UNI
72%
19%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |