Ferroviário vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 3
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FER
4 - 0
HOR
39%
24%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 1
FER
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
CEA
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TIR
2 - 2
FLO
63%
20%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
TIR
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 3
FOR
18%
23%
60%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
TIR
35%
25%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 0
FOR
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |