Ferroviário vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 4
HOR
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
FER
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FER
7 - 2
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
TIR
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 4
CEA
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
TIR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
TIR
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
CRA
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |