Ferroviário vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 2
HOR
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
FER
2 - 0
TRE
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
FER
0 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
3 - 3
TOM
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAU
4 - 1
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
RFC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
SED
97%
2%
0%
|
88 | 33 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AFO
1 - 1
SPO
6%
19%
75%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PPE
0 - 4
SPO
27%
27%
45%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |