Ferroviário vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 1
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
IGU
2 - 1
FER
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 2
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
CEA
17%
26%
57%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
AFP
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SER
4 - 0
ALA
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |