Ferroviário vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
ALT
59%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FER
0 - 3
CEA
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 2
FER
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
FER
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLO
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
SAN
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AFO
0 - 0
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |