Ferroviário vs Rio Negro AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
MOT
1 - 1
FER
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
FER
3 - 1
SBE
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
FER
0 - 0
ARN
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
FER
2 - 3
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
0 - 0
FER
53%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Negro AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
RIO
2 - 0
SBE
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIO
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
RIO
0 - 0
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
MOT
0 - 1
RIO
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
1 - 0
RIO
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |