Ferroviário vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 3
HOR
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
ICA
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FER
3 - 1
TIR
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 4
FOR
26%
24%
49%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 0
CRA
45%
23%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
HOR
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
QUI
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 0
QUI
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +1 |