Ferroviário vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CEA
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
FER
0 - 1
GUA
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 3
ITA
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
QUI
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 4
QUI
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
BOV
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |