Ferroviário vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
NOV
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
HOR
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
HOR
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEA
10%
18%
73%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |