Ferroviário vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FER
2 - 1
BOV
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
FOR
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUA
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |