Ferroviário vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
FER
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FER
2 - 3
ICA
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
FER
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
FER
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |