Ferroviário vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
TIR
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 4
HOR
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 1
ICA
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
4 - 2
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 0
CEA
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +2 |