Ferroviário vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 2
TIR
69%
18%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
ICA
15%
20%
66%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 2
GUA
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 1
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |