Ferroviário vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
FER
2 - 0
TRE
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
FER
0 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
3 - 3
TOM
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAU
4 - 1
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 1
FER
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
HOR
55%
22%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 0
CAU
33%
24%
44%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 1
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
UNI
23%
22%
54%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |