Ferroviário vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
ICA
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FER
3 - 1
TIR
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 4
FOR
26%
24%
49%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FER
7 - 2
CRA
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
FER
47%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
HOR
18%
22%
59%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
HOR
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
TIR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |