Ferroviário vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
FER
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FER
7 - 2
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 0
FER
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
TIR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
HOR
23%
22%
56%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 1
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |