Ferroviário vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 3
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 2
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 2
FER
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 2
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
HOR
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
HOR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HOR
5 - 1
LIM
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 4
HOR
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |