Ferroviário vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
FER
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
FER
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 3
FER
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FER
7 - 0
IMP
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
GLO
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |