Ferroviário vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
78%
16%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 0
FER
18%
21%
62%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
HOR
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FLO
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FLO
1 - 1
GUA
37%
23%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAU
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
GUA
38%
23%
39%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |