Ferroviário vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 1
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FER
0 - 2
CEA
14%
21%
64%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FER
2 - 4
ICA
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
TIR
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |