Ferroviário vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 3
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 3
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
FER
3 - 3
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 0
FER
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
5 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 4
GUA
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
TIR
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |