Ferroviário vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FER
7 - 2
CRA
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
FER
47%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
FER
2 - 2
FOR
23%
25%
53%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
6 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
59%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 1
FOR
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
LUV
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |