Ferroviário vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 3
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
FER
3 - 3
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 0
FER
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FER
3 - 3
TIR
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 0
FOR
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
CAC
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |