Ferroviário vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
FER
3 - 2
LIM
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
FER
0 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
TIR
1 - 2
FOR
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FLU
0 - 1
FOR
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
ABC
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
AGU
1 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
RIO
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |