Ferroviário vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
FER
25%
23%
53%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 4
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
QUI
71%
17%
13%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
2 - 3
FER
46%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 0
QUI
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
FOR
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 2
ICA
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 0
DES
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |