Ferroviário vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
11.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 4
FER
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ICA
83%
13%
4%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
FER
10%
22%
68%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
CAU
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 2
UNI
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 3
IGU
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
3 - 1
CRA
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
PAC
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |