Ferroviário vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FER
2 - 5
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
LIM
4 - 0
FER
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CEA
3 - 1
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
CRA
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 5
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 3
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |