Ferroviário vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 0
FER
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FER
3 - 3
TIR
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 4
GUA
31%
26%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 2
ITA
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |