Cearense 1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Ferroviário vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
FOR
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
77%
17%
6%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
GUA
77%
17%
6%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CEA
4 - 1
UNI
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 3
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |