Ferroviário vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
FER
11%
18%
71%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
FLO
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
FLO
0 - 0
FER
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FER
4 - 0
SDJ
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
FLO
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 1
PAC
31%
23%
46%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
5 - 0
CAU
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 1
CEN
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 4
UNI
20%
22%
59%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ARN
4 - 2
CAU
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |