Ferroviário vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
ICA
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 4
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
AMF
1 - 1
FER
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
FER
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 6
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
32 | 80 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 6
UNI
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
CAU
83%
13%
4%
|
34 | 78 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PAC
2 - 4
CAU
50%
22%
27%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CAU
74%
15%
10%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |