Ferroviário vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
CAU
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
FER
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 0
BOT
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
CSP
86%
11%
3%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 1
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |