Ferroviário vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
FER
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
FER
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 3
FER
74%
18%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
ICA
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
UNI
31%
25%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 5
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | -1 |